On 30 April 2021, the company provided annual production guidance for the full year 2021 of 8500 - 10 500 bpd. The company continues to forecast that average production for the year is expected to remain within this range. This annual guidance is based on an FPSO production uptime assumption of 90% and production from the P6 well alone on artificial lift via ESP. The production uptime assumption of 90% includes the impact of the annual maintenance shutdown, evenly spread across the year.
The company's management's production guidance from the Lancaster field for the six month period 1 October 2021 to 31 March 2022 is 8500 - 10 000 bpd, which is based on an improved FPSO production uptime assumption of 96.5% and production from the P6 well alone on artificial lift via ESP. The increase in the uptime assumption is a combination of there being no planned maintenance shutdowns anticipated in the period, and reflecting the excellent production uptime that has been seen on the FPSO to date.
The guidance for the period is slightly lower than the average for the full year 2021 due to the expected gradual production decline from the reservoir over time, partially offset by the higher FPSO uptime assumption.
Based on current trends, management estimates that wellhead flowing pressure in the Lancaster reservoir may reach the bubble point by the end of 1Q22. Whilst this has been factored into the guidance for the period, there will remain a degree of uncertainty regarding the full impact of this, along with the risk that gas liberated from the reservoir could be produced which could result in production either being reduced or ceased altogether.
Antony Maris, CEO of Hurricane, commented: "The Company has benefited from higher than expected oil prices and excellent performance to date of the FPSO. As a result of the combined efforts of the Hurricane and Bluewater teams, we anticipate being towards the upper end of our production guidance for 2021 and this is also reflected in our guidance for the next six months to 31 March 2022."
Read the latest issue of Oilfield Technology in full for free: Issue 3 2021
Oilfield Technology’s third issue of 2021 starts with a report from Wood Mackenzie focusing on the upstream industry’s fortunes in Asia-Pacific. The rest of the issue is dedicated to features covering offshore engineering, coiled tubing, frac technology, completion technologies, water management, well placement and much more.
Exclusive contributions come from Wild Well Control, Cudd Pressure Control, TMK, NOV, Archer, Tendeka, TETRA Technologies and more.
Read the article online at: https://www.oilfieldtechnology.com/drilling-and-production/30092021/hurricane-energy-anticipates-lancaster-2021-production-towards-upper-end-of-guidance/
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