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ExxonMobil outlines growth plans to more than double earnings by 2025

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Oilfield Technology,

ExxonMobil recently outlined an aggressive growth strategy to more than double earnings and cash flow from operations by 2025 at today’s oil prices. “We’ve got the best portfolio of high-quality, high-return investment opportunities that we’ve seen in two decades,” Darren W. Woods, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, said at the company’s annual meeting of investment analysts at the NYSE.

“Our plan takes full advantage of the company’s unique strengths and financial capabilities, using innovation, technology and integration to drive long-term shareholder value and industry-leading returns.”

Growth plans include steps to increase earnings by more than 100% – to US$31 billion by 2025 at 2017 prices – from last year’s adjusted profit of US$15 billion, which excluded the impact of US tax reform and impairments.

Woods said this plan projects double-digit rates of return in all three segments of ExxonMobil’s business – upstream, downstream and chemical – which are all three world-class businesses in their own right.

In the upstream, the company expects to significantly increase earnings through a number of growth initiatives involving low cost of supply investments in US tight oil, deepwater and LNG. Growth coming online from new and existing projects is expected to increase production from 4 million boe/d to approximately 5 million boe/d.

The company plans to increase tight oil production five-fold from the US Permian Basin and start up 25 projects worldwide. Those startups will add volumes of more than 1 million boe/d. In LNG, the company expects to bring on new production to meet a projected increase in global demand.

Upstream growth will benefit from ExxonMobil’s industry-leading exploration success and strategic acquisitions. In 2017 alone, the company added 10 billion boe to its resource base in locations including the Permian, Guyana, Mozambique, Papua New Guinea and Brazil.

Key drivers of growth are in Guyana, where exploration success has added 3.2 billion gross boe of recoverable resource and plans are in place for development and further exploration, and in the Permian, where the company has increased the size of its resource to 9.5 billion boe from less than 3 billion boe in the past year.

Through its acquisition of several Bass entities in 2017, ExxonMobil added an estimated resource of 5.4 billion boe in the Permian. The original resource estimate of 3.4 billion bbls at the time of the purchase was increased through technical evaluation and successful delineation in the Delaware Basin, reducing the acquisition cost to just above US$1 /boe.

The contiguous stacked pays from the New Mexico acquisition are now estimated to provide more than 4 800 drilling locations with an average lateral length of more than 12 000 ft, enabling capital efficient execution of Permian volumes growth and the potential to further increase future volumes.

“We are in a solid position to maximise the value of the increased Permian production as it moves from the wellhead to our Gulf Coast refining and chemical operations, where we are focusing on manufacturing higher demand, higher value products,” Woods said.

Woods said the company’s overall growth strategy is designed with a key goal in mind – fully leveraging competitive advantages to grow shareholder value across all three of its businesses. Through higher returns from increased investments, the company has the potential to increase its return on capital employed to about 15% by 2025.

“Our existing business and plans for growth are robust to a wide range of price environments, allowing us to maintain a growing dividend and a strong balance sheet while returning excess cash to our shareholders,” said Woods.

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